Chelsea’s season predicted if no winter transfers – top-four finish but Champions League blow

Chelsea’s first season under Frank Lampard has gone well, with the Blues pushing to secure another season of Champions League football, but there has been a recent dip in results.

With Manchester United, Tottenham and Wolves among the chasing pack, there is little room for a slip in the final months of the campaign and improvements are needed.

However, while the rest of the Premier League frantically concluded deals in the mid-season window, Chelsea did not secure any new additions and questions have been asked as a result.

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But, what would have happened if the rest of the league also hadn’t done any business in the January transfer window?

We used Football Manager 2020 to predict the rest of the 2019/20 Premier League campaign, without any January transfers.

Chelsea’s 2019/20 season predicted if no winter transfers

To set up this simulation, the guys at Football Manager sent us a save game with the updated real-life results and fixtures for the 2019/20 season, up until February 6, to make the simulation as realistic as possible.

But, there was no January transfer window, as the game began in February, so there were no transfers in or out of any Premier League club.

We then ran the simulation to see how the season would play out for Chelsea in 2019/20.

This is what happened.

Chelsea results

Chelsea’s inconsistencies continued into the final 13 matches of the Premier League campaign, as victories over Tottenham and a draw with Manchester City came alongside defeats to Aston Villa, Liverpool and Wolves.

All in all, the Blues won six of their final 13 fixtures, drew four and lost three – with two of those defeats coming in consecutive matchweeks at the end of the campaign.

In the Champions League, the wobbles continued as Chelsea lost the first leg of their Round of 16 tie with Lille before fighting back in the second leg and also…


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