Why Premier League behind closed doors will benefit Chelsea more than Man United and Tottenham

The affects of football behind closed doors could impact Chelsea less than their top-four rivals according to statistical analysis of the four rounds of games since the Bundesliga resumed.

Of the 36 games completed in Germany, only eight have been won by the home team compared to 17 away sides.

That indicates home advantage counts for almost nothing in front of empty stadiums and also serves to weaken the argument of some sides lower down the table regarding neutral venues.

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If that pattern repeats itself when the Premier League returns on June 17, Chelsea stand to benefit more than Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur in the race to seal a Champions League place.

Chelsea currently sit fourth with United three points behind and Tottenham seven back. Wolves and Sheffield United, who have a game in hand, trail by five.

Frank Lampard’s side have shown indifferent form at Stamford Bridge, taking 24 points from an available 45, while matching that points total from one fewer game on the road.

United and Spurs, however, have leaned more on their home form. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team have taken 29 points from 45 at Old Trafford compares to 16 from 42 on the road.

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Spurs, meanwhile, have 26 points from 42 at home but only average a point per game from their 15 away trips.

Wolves’ case would also be strengthened as they have taken 21 points from 14 away games and 22 from 15 at Molineux, while Sheffield United have 19 away points from 13 games and 24 from 15 at home.

There is a note of warning for Chelsea from the post-pandemic trends in the Bundesliga, however, as it has also seen a spike in set piece goals. That is an area that has troubled Lampard’s team throughout the campaign.