Jones Knows is back in the prediction chair and sees a West Ham victory at Fulham and also thinks Everton are a big price to upset Manchester United.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal, Saturday 12.30pm
My faith in Aston Villa being a genuine top-six contender is wavering. Villa have lost four of their last six Premier League games – as many as they had in their previous 18. Have teams worked out how to stop their clever interchanges through midfield? In their last two matches, Villa have only registered 15 shots and conceded 39 on their goal.
Arsenal won’t be affording them much space either in this one. According to expected goals conceded data, their season tally of 11.48 away from home ranks them as the fourth best defence in the league. This is even more impressive considering they’ve already played Manchester City, Liverpool and Manchester United on the road this season.
This one looks set to be a low-scoring affair settled by a fine margin. I’m on the fence with the result.
An angle to attack at an appealing price is Ollie Watkins to have a header on target with Sky Bet at 4/1. Only Patrick Bamford (22), Aleksandar Mitrovic (19) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (18) have had more headers on goal than the in-form Watkins this season with five of those hitting the target. He managed to score a header in the reverse fixture, too.
JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Ollie Watkins to have a headed shot on target (4/1 with Sky Bet)
Burnley vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm, live on Sky Sports Premier League (Play Super 6 to win £250,000)
It would be a mistake to judge Burnley on their last two performances. They may have mustered just three shots across their last two Premier League games (one vs Chelsea, two vs Man City), failing to register a single effort on target in those matches, but better can be expected here.
Saying that, the penny just might have dropped with Brighton.
In their last two impressive victories they’ve been rather ruthless instead of…