Chelsea may have their work cut out to finish in the top four this reason despite moving to within one point of fourth-placed Liverpool over the weekend.
The Blues have enjoyed a resurgence under new boss Thomas Tuchel, winning three and drawing once under his guidance to-date, including a win over Sheffield United on the weekend.
That result, and indeed Liverpool’s thumping at the hands of Manchester City, has seen Chelsea move within a point of the top four, currently fifth place, despite their winter wobble under former boss Frank Lampard.
Tuchel’s men now have their eyes firmly set on a top-four finish, but it might not be quite as achievable as it currently looks.
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That’s because the benchmark to achieve a top-four finish, based on the last 10 seasons, is just over 71 points, and that could make it challenging for Chelsea, who have 39 points after 23 games.
Based on that average, the Blues need 32 more points, which translates to an average of 2.3 points per game from the remaining 15 matches.
In terms of results, 11 wins and any amount of draws or wins would get Chelsea across the line, while nine wins and six draws would also do it, though that would make it an unbeaten finish, perhaps asking a lot.
According to FootballWebPages and their predicted final Premier League table, fourth place, currently predicted to be Leicester City, will finish on 72 points, so that could mean the Blues would need a point or two more than the average to secure Champions League qualification.
Thomas Tuchel has made a fast start at Stamford Bridge
(Image: (Photo by Clive Rose/Getty Images))
If the top four mark ends up being on the lower end, as it was last season when Chelsea finished on the joint-lowest points to ever secure a fourth-place finish (66), then Tuchel’s men would need only 27 points from their last 15 games.